4
Mayacama
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 95
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 18/04/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |