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4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 106
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-06-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength92%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 09/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |