1
Young Love
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |