4

Majestic Palisades

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 98

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 23/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/02/2026 · OR 94 par23/02C6OR 94C7 @ Santa Anita 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 95 parC6 @ Santa Anita 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 97 par25/04C6OR 97C6 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 99 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 99 parC7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 102 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 102 par28/06C7OR 102C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 100 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Del Mar 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 101 par24/07C6OR 101C6 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 101 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 101 par19/09C6OR 101projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd1st+2
2026-08-21Del Mar?7th5th+2
2026-07-24Del Mar?3rd1st+2
2026-07-05Los Alamitos Racecourse?4th2nd+2
2026-06-28Los Alamitos Racecourse?4th3rd+1
2026-05-24Santa Anita?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0224/0524/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/02/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
07/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
25/04/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
24/05/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
28/06/20264th1/195%25%-0.70
05/07/20264th3/184%57%-0.27
24/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
21/08/20267th7/282%25%-0.57
19/09/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14