1
Mighty Kai
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 100
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 14/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |