IvyArcIvyArc
6

Amigo G A

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Del Mar 10/09/2022 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 6f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2022 · OR 76 par10/09C5OR 76C6 @ Del Mar 27/11/2022 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/11/2022 · OR 83 parC5 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/12/2022 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/12/2022 · OR 86 par19/12C5OR 86C5 @ Santa Anita 07/01/2023 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/01/2023 · OR 78 parC7 @ Santa Anita 11/02/2023 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark11/02/2023 · OR 75 par11/02C7OR 75C6 @ Del Mar 12/11/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/11/2023 · OR 75 parC7 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 15/12/2023 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark15/12/2023 · OR 77 par15/12C7OR 77C8 @ Del Mar 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Del Mar 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 76 par21/08C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Del Mar?1st2nd−1
2026-07-19Del Mar?8th9th−1
2023-12-15Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th5th0
2023-11-12Del Mar?6th5th+1
2023-02-11Santa Anita?5th5th0
2023-01-07Santa Anita?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/097/0115/1221/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20223rd20/10%60%+0.60
27/11/20224th9/153%40%-0.13
19/12/20225th25/10%43%+0.43
07/01/20236th40/10%17%+0.17
11/02/20235th25/10%43%+0.43
12/11/20236th33/10%0%0.00
15/12/20235th40/10%0%0.00
19/07/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
21/08/20261st25/10%100%+1.00