4
Kimmer
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 84
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/11/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/02/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |