4

Delaneys Dreamer

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 90

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS22/05C6C6 @ Del Mar 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 83 par20/07C6OR 83C6 @ Del Mar 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 86 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 86 par15/08C6OR 86C9 @ Del Mar 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 87 · 6f 124 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 87 par29/08C9OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-08-15Del Mar?4th1st+3
2026-07-20Del Mar?5th2nd+3
2026-05-22Santa Anita?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0520/0715/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
20/07/20265th13/266%60%-0.06
15/08/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
29/08/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43