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5

Mystic Moses

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 82

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 29/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS29/06C6C6 @ Del Mar 19/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 60 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 60 par19/07C6OR 60C6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 80 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 80 par7/09C6OR 80C6 @ Santa Anita 28/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 85 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 85 par28/09C6OR 85C6 @ Del Mar 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 84 par30/10C6OR 84C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 89 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 89 par6/07C6OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Los Alamitos Racecourse?7th4th+3
2025-10-30Del Mar?2nd-1th+3
2025-09-28Santa Anita?7th4th+3
2025-09-07Del Mar?7th4th+3
2025-07-19Del Mar?2nd-1th+3
2025-06-29Los Alamitos Racecourse?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0619/077/0928/0930/106/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20258th10/382%0%-0.82
19/07/20252nd25/10%88%+0.88
07/09/20257th3/184%33%-0.51
28/09/20257th9/153%40%-0.13
30/10/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
06/07/20267th9/488%40%-0.48