9

First Or Last
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -47.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |