9

First Or Last

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f 11826/06C6C6 @ Del Mar 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 99 par24/07C6OR 99C6 @ Del Mar 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 96 par5/09C6OR 96projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-07-24Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-06-26Churchill Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0624/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -47.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
24/07/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
05/09/20265th4/179%33%-0.46