4

Mad Pursuit
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 64
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/01/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |