Baladi
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Emerald Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Emerald Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Emerald Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Emerald Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |