1

King Apollo

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 105

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 05/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2024 · OR 108 par5/10C6OR 108C6 @ Del Mar 02/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/11/2024 · OR 103 parC6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 15/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 108 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/12/2024 · OR 108 par15/12C6OR 108C6 @ Santa Anita 25/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 107 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/01/2025 · OR 107 parC6 @ Santa Anita 23/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 107 · 6f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 107 par23/02C6OR 107C8 @ Santa Anita 20/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 104 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 104 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 98 par21/06C8OR 98C8 @ Del Mar 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 104 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 104 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 98 · 5f110y Fas 125 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 98 par11/09C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Los Alamitos Racecourse?1st1st0
2026-08-20Del Mar?8th8th0
2025-06-21Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd3rd0
2025-04-20Santa Anita?9th9th0
2025-02-23Santa Anita?10th8th+2
2025-01-25Santa Anita?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1025/0121/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20245th2/189%43%-0.47
02/11/20248th8/158%36%-0.22
15/12/20243rd10/1195%50%-0.45
25/01/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
23/02/202510th14/126%18%-0.08
20/04/20259th6/168%0%-0.68
21/06/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
20/08/20268th8/158%22%-0.36
11/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09