Leyas Candy
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |