5
Magic Connection
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 30/07/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |