9
Novinophobia
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |