3

Lavender Love

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 100

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

62%

Place Prob

43%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength17%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 16/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fm 12016/06C6C6 @ Del Mar 26/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 95 parC6 @ Del Mar 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 98 par24/08C6OR 98C6 @ Santa Anita 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 99 parC6 @ Santa Anita 02/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 94 par2/02C6OR 94C6 @ Santa Anita 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Santa Anita 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 91 par27/04C6OR 91C6 @ Santa Anita 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 93 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 93 parC0 @ Santa Anita 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 104 · 1m1f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 104 par30/05C?OR 104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Santa Anita?4th-2th+5
2026-05-15Santa Anita?1st1st0
2026-04-27Santa Anita?3rd3rd0
2026-03-13Santa Anita?1st1st0
2026-02-02Santa Anita?11th11th0
2025-09-28Santa Anita?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0628/0927/0430/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20256th25/10%44%+0.44
26/07/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
24/08/20254th3/184%70%-0.14
28/09/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
02/02/202611th14/126%17%-0.10
13/03/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
27/04/20263rd2/189%67%-0.23
15/05/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
30/05/20264th16/116%0%-0.16