Raw Ability
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-21 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-03-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2024 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/09/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/04/2025 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 33% | -0.63 |