4

Ribbons

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 103

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 05/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m Fm 1185/02C9C6 @ Del Mar 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 75 parC6 @ Del Mar 09/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 92 par9/08C6OR 92C6 @ Del Mar 01/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 99 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 99 parC6 @ Santa Anita 29/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 102 par29/09C6OR 102C6 @ Del Mar 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 104 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 104 parC0 @ Santa Anita 29/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 105 · 1m2f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/12/2025 · OR 105 par29/12C?OR 105C6 @ Del Mar 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 108 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 108 parC6 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 108 par22/08C6OR 108projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-07-23Del Mar?4th4th0
2025-12-29Santa Anita?8th2nd+5
2025-10-30Del Mar?1st1st0
2025-09-29Santa Anita?10th10th0
2025-09-01Del Mar?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/021/0929/1222/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20253rd6/168%67%-0.02
19/07/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
09/08/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
01/09/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
29/09/202510th6/168%10%-0.58
30/10/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
29/12/20258th20/10%30%+0.30
23/07/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
22/08/20262nd10/382%67%-0.16