
Schilflied
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 95
Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 27/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/12/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |