1

Schilflied

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 95

Santa Anita · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Santa Anita 18/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 102 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2025 · OR 102 par18/05C1OR 102C5 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 102 parC0 @ Del Mar 27/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fm 11727/07C?C1 @ Santa Anita 28/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 103 · 6f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 103 parC0 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 103 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 103 par28/12C?OR 103C6 @ Santa Anita 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 98 · 6f110y 122 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 98 parC6 @ Santa Anita 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 98 · 6f Fm 122 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 98 par28/03C6OR 98C6 @ Santa Anita 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 96 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 96 parC6 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 98 par14/06C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Santa Anita?7th7th0
2026-05-16Santa Anita?7th7th0
2026-03-28Santa Anita?6th6th0
2026-02-06Santa Anita?4th4th0
2025-12-28Santa Anita?10th4th+5
2025-09-28Santa Anita?9th3rd+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0528/0928/0314/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
14/06/20254th9/153%25%-0.28
27/07/20258th33/10%22%+0.22
28/09/20259th25/10%27%+0.27
28/12/202510th66/10%0%0.00
06/02/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
28/03/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
16/05/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
14/06/20267th40/10%0%0.00