5
Christa Mcauliffe
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 93
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |