2
Cotta Ride
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 70
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 11th | 15th | −3 |
| 2025-11-16 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 21/06/2026 | 11th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |