10
Kool Mariah
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 89
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |