12
La Silenciosa
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 93
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |