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3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 90

Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Emerald Downs 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 11924/08C9C8 @ Emerald Downs 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 118 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 78 par26/07C8OR 78C8 @ Emerald Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 81 par7/09C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Emerald Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-07-26Emerald Downs?1st3rd−2
2025-08-24Emerald Downs?1st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0826/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
26/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
07/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06