IvyArcIvyArc
4

Zadra

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 80

Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1225/04C6C6 @ Santa Anita 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 90 par9/05C6OR 90C9 @ Del Mar 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 80 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 80 par7/08C9OR 80C6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-08-07Del Mar?1st5th−3
2026-05-09Santa Anita?3rd4th−1
2026-04-05Santa Anita?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/049/057/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
09/05/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
07/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
07/09/20265th20/10%50%+0.50