2
Jimmy Rules
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 92
Thistledown · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 16/04/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |