6
Jupiter
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 94
Thistledown · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |