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Midnight Majesty

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 99

Thistledown · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 95 par17/09C6OR 95C5 @ Thistledown 14/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 99 · 6f 121 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 99 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 13/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 99 · 6f 121 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 99 par13/12C8OR 99C8 @ Oaklawn Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 96 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 96 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 96 · 6f 118 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 96 par26/02C8OR 96C8 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 94 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 6f 121 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 94 par9/04C8OR 94C8 @ Thistledown 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 95 · 6f 119 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Thistledown 24/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 6f 119 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 93 par24/09C8OR 93projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Thistledown?4th7th−3
2026-09-02Thistledown?5th8th−3
2026-04-09Oaklawn Park?2nd5th−3
2026-03-07Oaklawn Park?3rd6th−3
2026-02-26Oaklawn Park?2nd5th−3
2026-02-15Oaklawn Park?9th12th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0915/029/0424/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20252nd11/271%80%+0.09
14/10/20254th15/261%25%-0.36
13/12/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
15/02/20269th10/147%27%-0.20
26/02/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
07/03/20263rd3/184%80%-0.04
09/04/20262nd5/696%88%-0.08
02/09/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
24/09/20264th9/153%40%-0.13