Timeless Bounty
8yo Horse · 8-7 · OR 83
Thistledown · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 15/03/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |