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6

Vdaytothetenacious

5yo Horse · 8-7 · OR 93

Thistledown · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

53%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 6 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Oaklawn Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 94 · 6f 118 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 94 par5/02C8OR 94C7 @ Oaklawn Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 118 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 119 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 88 par12/04C7OR 88C5 @ Thistledown 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Thistledown 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 94 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 94 par25/05C5OR 94C5 @ Thistledown 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Thistledown 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 93 par6/07C5OR 93C5 @ Thistledown 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 94 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 94 parC5 @ Thistledown 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 93 par8/09C5OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Thistledown?2nd0th+2
2026-08-04Thistledown?2nd0th+2
2026-07-06Thistledown?2nd0th+2
2026-06-15Thistledown?3rd1st+2
2026-05-25Thistledown?1st-1th+2
2026-05-12Thistledown?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0212/056/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
13/03/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
12/04/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
12/05/20262nd1/195%83%-0.11
25/05/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
15/06/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
06/07/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
04/08/20262nd4/797%75%-0.22
08/09/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31