4
Zippin Gigi
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87
Thistledown · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |