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3

Coloryoureggs

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 72

Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 03/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 78 par3/09C5OR 78C8 @ Thistledown 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 115 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Thistledown 13/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 75 par13/10C5OR 75C5 @ Mahoning Valley 13/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 79 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Thistledown 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 68 par1/06C8OR 68C5 @ Thistledown 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Thistledown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 70 par29/07C5OR 70C5 @ Thistledown 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Thistledown 24/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 72 par24/09C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Thistledown?1st-2th+3
2026-08-25Thistledown?4th1st+3
2026-07-29Thistledown?2nd-1th+3
2026-06-20Thistledown?4th0th+3
2026-06-01Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2025-11-13Mahoning Valley?12th8th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0913/1129/0724/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength81%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
25/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
13/10/20252nd11/1094%86%-0.09
13/11/202512th14/126%8%-0.18
01/06/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
20/06/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
29/07/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
25/08/20264th13/891%57%-0.34
24/09/20261st6/168%100%+0.32