Miz Keeta
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 76
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |