
Perfect Angel
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-04 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |