1

Perfect Angel

3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 72

Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 02/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 58 · 5f110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 58 par2/03C5OR 58C5 @ Mahoning Valley 19/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/03/2026 · OR 60 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 65 par8/04C5OR 65C5 @ Thistledown 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Thistledown 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 68 par4/05C8OR 68C5 @ Thistledown 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 71 · 6f 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Thistledown 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f 115 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 74 par13/07C8OR 74C5 @ Thistledown 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 6f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Thistledown 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 74 par19/08C5OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Thistledown?6th3rd+3
2026-07-30Thistledown?7th4th+3
2026-07-13Thistledown?5th5th0
2026-06-17Thistledown?5th2nd+3
2026-05-04Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-04-23Thistledown?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0323/0413/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
19/03/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
08/04/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
23/04/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
04/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
17/06/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
13/07/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
30/07/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
19/08/20266th14/126%0%-0.26