Waves Of Liberty
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 76
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |