4
Martinez Mojo
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 37
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |