Vadora
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 56
Thistledown · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |