4
Diabel
7yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Charley Mills - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 17/09/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |