8
Freedom
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Charley Mills - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 27/04/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 19/08/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |