12
Jizou D'etang
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Charley Mills - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 24/12/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 53% | -0.02 |
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 22/01/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 47% | -0.32 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |