7
Jour De Fete
7yo Horse · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Charley Mills - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Royan-La Palmyre | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 19/07/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 17/09/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 31% | -0.46 |