2
Niagara River
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Charley Mills - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 4 | −2 | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |