6
L'elite Du Choquel
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Justicia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |