15
L'etoile D'ete
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Justicia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2024 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |