14

La Star Des Isles
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Justicia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 65% | -0.04 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |