5
Lady D'elfe
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Justicia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | −2 | ||
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 06/04/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 06/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/10/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/10/2025 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |