2

Lady De Rico
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Justicia - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 24/07/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 10/09/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |