11
Kaiser Vrie
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Atalante - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-25 | Reims | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-12-09 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/10/2024 | 10th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 08/11/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 06/01/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |