10
Katharina De Mai
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Atalante - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength96%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 94% | +0.46 |